Breakinggeopolitics

India-Russia: The Enduring Partnership Tested by War and Realignment

Complex stories. Clear analysis.

Evidence Score

90%

Sources Cited

3

Key Findings

5

Read Time

14 min

India's oldest strategic partnership is navigating the Ukraine war, a dramatic surge in oil imports, Western sanctions pressure, and Russia's deepening embrace of China — all while defence dependency keeps the relationship anchored.


Key Findings

  • Russia supplied 60-65% of India's military equipment historically, though this has declined to ~45% as India diversifies to US, France, and Israel
  • India's oil imports from Russia surged from 2% to 35% of total crude imports after the Ukraine war, saving an estimated $15 billion annually
  • The S-400 Triumf air defence system deal ($5.4 billion) proceeded despite US CAATSA sanctions threat, demonstrating India's strategic autonomy

Evidence Score

90%

Sources Cited

3

Key Findings

5

Read Time

14 min

Timeline
1947-08-15

Early Diplomatic Ties

1971-08-09

Indo-Soviet Treaty

2000-10-03

Strategic Partnership

High Confidence

Latest Investigations

politics

Mission 360: Inside BJP's Push for a Two-Thirds Majority and the Battle Over India's Constitutional Future

After the shock defeat of the delimitation-cum-women's reservation bill on April 17, 2026, the BJP launched a high-stakes strategy to secure 360+ Lok Sabha seats — enough for a two-thirds majority — by engineering defections, targeting regional parties, and leveraging its historic Bengal win. The outcome will determine whether the government can reshape India's electoral map through constitutional reform.

16 min93%
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Solutions

The Fix

Not just what's wrong. What would fix it.

Fixing MGNREGA: 5 Reforms to Make Rural Employment Work

Evidence 80

Despite 20 years of operation, MGNREGA wage rates are indexed to CPI-AL but revisions are delayed by 6-18 months. In 12 of 28 states, scheme wages fall below prevailing market rates, reducing the sche

Problem

Despite 20 years of operation, MGNREGA wage rates are indexed to CPI-AL but revisions are delayed by 6-18 months. In 12 of 28 states, scheme...

Root Cause

Three structural issues: (1) Wage indexation linked to CPI-AL lacks automatic adjustment mechanism, causing erosion of...

Global Example

Brazil

Reduced poverty by 15% in 5 years with lower administrative costs.

Recommendation

Automatic wage indexation

The Fix: How to Fix Crop Insurance in India

Evidence 80

The PM Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), India's flagship crop insurance scheme, has a systemic claims settlement crisis. Our investigation across 6 states found 42% of claims delayed beyond the mandated 60-

Problem

The PM Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), India's flagship crop insurance scheme, has a systemic claims settlement crisis. Our investigation across...

Root Cause

Three systemic failures: (1) Insurance companies have discretion to delay claims with minimal penalties. (2) 4 states...

Global Example

USA

90% of claims settled within 30 days, 99% within 60 days.

Recommendation

Mandate satellite-based loss assessment

Fixing India's Air Pollution: A Multi-Sector Action Plan

Evidence 80

Despite the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) targeting 40% reduction in PM2.5 by 2026, 132 of 141 monitored cities have failed to meet air quality standards. Sources vary by region: vehicular emiss

Problem

Despite the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) targeting 40% reduction in PM2.5 by 2026, 132 of 141 monitored cities have failed to meet...

Root Cause

Seven interconnected drivers: (1) coal-dependent power generation, (2) 26% of vehicles exceeding emission norms, (3)...

Global Example

China

PM2.5 reduced by 33% in Beijing within 5 years.

Recommendation

Implement an Airshed-Based Governance Model

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